A score built for their book took new-user approvals from the low 70s to 91%

A general-purpose score was turning away good borrowers it couldn't tell apart from risky ones. A score built on the lender's own book found them, and repayment rate barely moved.

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At a Glance
The Challenge

New-user approvals were stuck in the low 70s, and every denial was a marketing dollar already spent.

The Outcome

A Cash Advance Score built on the provider's own data, owned by their team, lifted first-time approvals to roughly 91% with repayment essentially flat.

The Pave Impact

Why the score did what the check couldn't

Performance compounds with each risk event on the Pave network

The custom score rides the same network as every Pave model, so more than a billion monthly transaction and outcome events keep sharpening it well beyond this provider's own volume.

Customized for your book

Pave built a Cash Advance Score around this provider's own borrowers and the exact repayment risk they underwrite, so it caught good applicants the off-the-shelf score was turning away and took new-user approvals from the low 70s to roughly 91%.

We become an extension of your risk team

Both teams watched approvals and 30-day repayment on a shared view, tuned thresholds together, and confirmed the lift held before widening adoption, with monitoring still running as the book scales.

The Full Story

Challenge

For a cash advance provider, the new-user approval rate isn't a vanity metric. It's the top of the funnel everything else depends on. Every applicant the model turns away is a marketing dollar already spent, a person who might cancel the subscription or ask for a refund, and a fixed platform cost now spread across fewer funded advances. When first-time approvals sit in the low 70s, that drag compounds across acquisition, retention, and unit economics all at once.

The team was decisioning new-user advances on a general-purpose Cash Advance Score. It worked, but it was built to generalize across many lenders, not to read this provider's specific borrowers. They suspected a real share of the people being declined were good borrowers the general model simply couldn't tell apart from risky ones. The hard part was proving it without loosening the bar and eating a wave of defaults.

So the real question wasn't "can we approve more?" Anyone can approve more. It was "can we approve more of the right people, and prove it before the book is on the line?"

Solution

Pave built a Cash Advance Score on the provider's own advance and repayment data. The design choice was the whole point: a model fit to one lender's borrowers separates good from bad inside that population far more sharply than a model averaged across everyone's. The provider's team owned the score and ran it inside their existing decision flow.

Approach

1
Built the score on their own book

Pave trained a Cash Advance Score on the provider's historical advances and repayment outcomes, not a general-purpose model.

2
Beat the incumbent before any money moved

The custom score was validated against the existing model on the same population, confirming it ranked repayment risk more sharply before a dollar rode on it.

3
Ran a controlled split in production

The provider sent 50% of new-user underwriting to the custom score and kept computing both models in parallel, so the comparison was live traffic, not a backtest.

4
Watched it on a shared view

Both teams tracked approval rate and 30-day repayment for the custom and default cohorts on one dashboard, aligning on thresholds before widening adoption.

5
Ramped toward full adoption

With repayment holding flat against the prior model, the provider began moving from the split toward full rollout.

Results

  • New-user approvals rose from the low 70s to roughly 91%, measured against the provider's prior score on the same applicants. A lift of about 20 points.
  • 30-day repayment held within about a third of a percentage point (0.003) of the prior model, so the added approvals didn't come at the cost of measurably higher defaults.

The new approvals landed exactly where it hurt before: at the top of the funnel. More approved new users meant less wasted acquisition spend, fewer cancellations and refunds, and platform costs spread across more funded advances, all without accepting a worse book. The custom score didn't lower the bar. It read the provider's own borrowers more accurately and approved good ones the general model couldn't see.

Conclusion

The lesson isn't that custom beats off-the-shelf in the abstract. It's that a score built on a lender's own borrowers recovers approvals a general model leaves on the table, because it tells that lender's good customers apart from its risky ones more precisely. For a cash advance business where the new-user funnel drives acquisition cost, retention, and platform economics at the same time, a 20-point lift in first-time approvals that holds repayment flat changes the math across the whole operation.

The custom score is running in production, and the provider keeps watching repayment as approved volume grows. The signal is strong; the open question now is whether it holds as the book scales, which is exactly what the shared monitoring is there to catch.

See what a score built for your book can do

Off-the-shelf scores you can deploy today, sharpened by every lender on the network.

Drive growth with Cashflow-driven Analytics

Use our Cashflow-driven Attributes and Scores to provide timely, borrower-specific insights tailored to your lending criteria. Make informed decisions that enhance approval rates and loan performance.

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